CURRENT CARD · SUNDAY, OCTOBER 25
TODAY'S POWER PLAY
1 OFFICIAL PLAY · POSTED · NOT FINAL
Mayfield questionable, Panthers scoring 29.2 at home, price -159. One market only. No spread. No total. If Mayfield is active and the number moves to -165 or shorter, the card comes down.
Friday, October 16, 2026: no official play. The Rays game was postponed and moved to Saturday. Not a loss. Not a push. Not under review.
Friday, October 9, Thursday, October 8, and Tuesday, October 6 had no official plays. Not losses. Not pushes. Not under review. We passed.
October 1 and September 30 had no official plays. Not losses. Not pushes. Not under review. We passed.
DESTROY THE PICK
The goal is not to fill the card. Every candidate is attacked from both sides. A Power Play becomes official only when the strongest opposing case fails to eliminate it. Every candidate now requires TRUE PROBABILITY, BREAK-EVEN PROBABILITY, EDGE OVER BREAK-EVEN, EXPLOITATION GATE, MARKET INTELLIGENCE, STRUCTURAL RISK, BEST MARKET and DESTROY THE PICK. Finding an opponent weakness is not enough unless our selected team can actually exploit it.
THE DIFFERENCE
WHY ONLY HERE
This is not somebody waking up, looking at a betting board and guessing. We have the data. We have the ledger, the unique-game history, the archived results and the current-game research.
THE DATABASE
THE LEDGER ACTUAL HISTORICAL DATAWe have the underlying sportsbook activity and historical results. We can see the tickets, the sides, the prices, the sportsbooks, the dates and the outcomes.
The database is context. It is not a crystal ball, and raw ticket volume is never passed off as handicapping skill.
THE FILTER
ONE GAME = ONE GAMEIf dozens of accounts take the same side in the same game, that does not become dozens of independent wins.
We collapse duplicate activity before studying historical performance.
RAW TICKET WIN RATE is not the same thing as UNIQUE-GAME PERFORMANCE. That distinction is fundamental to POWER PLAY.
THE HISTORY
70.8% HISTORICAL / BACKTESTED WIN RATEThe supplied historical results contain 216 backtested Power Plays: 153 wins and 63 losses.
Historical/backtested results are labeled as historical. They are kept separate from the live-forward POWER PLAY record.
WE DO NOT COUNT TICKET NOISE AS PROOF THAT A PICK WILL WIN.
- Collapse duplicate ticket activity to the appropriate unique-game level.
- Study what the historical data actually says.
- Research today's game independently before anything becomes official.
- Publish the actual play, release price and time.
- Preserve the result whether it wins or loses.
THE PROCESS
HOW A POWER PLAY IS BUILT
DATA FIRST. GAME RESEARCH SECOND. PRICE LAST.
CHECK THE DATA
Start with the historical ledger and collapse duplicate activity into meaningful unique-game context.
STARTER + WORKLOAD
Starting pitcher, recent form, pitch count, innings limits, injuries, opener roles and workload restrictions.
MATCHUP
Pitch shape, pitcher vs. opponent, lineup vs. pitch type, confirmed lineups and current offensive context.
INNINGS 6-9
Bullpen availability, previous-game usage, rest, travel, weather and the late-game structure.
PRICE + VETO
Current market price, maximum playable number, strongest opposing case and the realistic death scenario.
Edgexa unique-game history
Confirmed lineups
Last five starts
Pitch count / workload
Pitch shape + usage
Pitcher vs. opponent
Lineup vs. pitch type
Bullpen availability
Innings 6-9
Rest + travel
Weather + umpire
Current market price
Playoff context
Opposing case
Death scenario
TRANSPARENCY
TWO RECORDS. NEVER MIXED.
Historical testing can tell us how a methodology performed in the past. Live-forward results tell you what happened after POWER PLAY actually published the picks. They are not the same record.
VERIFIED HISTORICAL RESULTS
These selections come from the supplied historical results database. They are presented as backtested history, not as though they were publicly posted before those games occurred.
216 verified historical/backtested picks loaded.
THE PICKS ACTUALLY POSTED
Every live POWER PLAY receives an official release price, posting time and game start time. When the game ends, the result stays. Wins stay. Losses stay.
Live-forward record updates from the complete Results database when available.
RESULTS DATABASE: The Results page may show only the most recent 10 official card dates by default, but every stored result remains in the database and continues to count toward the applicable historical or live-forward percentages.